How the Chinese car market in Russia will change in 2025

The changes of the Chinese car market in Russia in 2025 worry many people. Chinese brands occupy 60% of the market, but face challenges. According to Avtostat, 848,000 cars from China will be sold in 2024. However, experts expect a decline in 2025. I will break down the key trends, risks and forecasts. We will look at which brands will leave, how prices will change and what the market is waiting for.

Chinese car market 2025: sales decline

Sales of new cars in Russia in 2025 will amount to 1.5-1.65 million units, "Avtostat" forecasts. Chinese brands may lose their positions. In the first quarter of 2025, 213 car dealerships of Chinese brands closed - three times more than in 2024. The reasons are low demand and high competition. This affects the changes in the Chinese car market. The share of Chinese cars may decrease from 60% to 55%.

The demise of brands: Chinese cars Russia 2025

Up to 10 Chinese brands, including Oting, Kaiyi, SWM, Livan, VGV and MG, may leave Russia. The reason is low sales (less than 60 cars in three months). This is confirmed by dealers and analysts of Kommersant. Also closures of car dealerships (e.g. Bestune, Kaiyi, DFM) intensify the crisis. However, leaders such as Chery (206 showrooms), Changan (200) and Geely (199) will retain their positions.

Changes in the Chinese car industry: rising prices

Prices for Chinese cars are growing due to the duties and the ruble exchange rate. The average cost in 2025 is 3 million rubles. For example, the Haval H7 costs from 3.5 million roubles, and the BAIC BJ60 - 6-7 million. The rise in prices reduces demand. For you, with your auto and yachting experience, this is important: buying will become more expensive. Chinese auto 2025 brands will be less affordable.

Competition and localisation

Competition among Chinese brands is intensifying. Haval, Chery and Geely are leading, selling 190-210 thousand, 130-145 thousand and 127-140 thousand cars respectively. However, localisation of production is stalling. Only Haval has a plant in Russia. Chery and Exeed have suspended assembly at Avtotor. Without localisation, prices will remain high, which hinders the Chinese car market 2025.

Chinese car market forecast: what's in store for the market

Experts expect sales to drop to 1.4-1.5 million cars. Chinese brands can sell 400-450 thousand cars. New products, such as Jaecoo J5 and Chery Tiggo 9, will revitalise the market. However, high competition and showroom closures will complicate the situation. For Russia, where passability is important, this is a challenge. Changes in the Chinese car market require attention.

Conclusion: what to choose in 2025

Changes in the Chinese car market in 2025 show a decline. The departure of small brands, price increases and competition will change the market. Chery, Haval and Geely will remain the leaders. For you, with experience in auto and yachting, I advise you to pay attention to reliable brands. Prices start from 3 million rubles. Take a test drive at a dealer.